Long-term Interest Rates Lower Than At any time Since the South Sea Bubble of 1720!
Another Sign of Bond Market Madness?
It’s not just short-term interest rates that
are at historic lows. There is now tangible evidence that long-term interest
rates have touched new historic lows (Exhibit 1). Surprisingly few people took
notice of the UK Debt Management Office’s (DMO) recent repayment of ‘undated’
debt, some originating from as far back to the 1720’s, and subsequent issue of new
50 year bonds. These transactions do, however, send a powerful signal. They
should be seen as a warning that interest rates, both short and long-term, are
not only low in absolute and real (inflation adjusted) terms. But they are now
lower than at any time in the last 300 years!!!
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